After appearing to be stalled, health reform now may be moving toward final passage.
After
appearing to be stalled, health reform now may be moving toward final
passage. House Democratic leadership will use the budget reconciliation process
to make changes to the Senate-passed bill to address concerns of House
Democrats and will likely "deem" the Senate bill (H.R. 3590) passed
and send it to the President for signature. Under this process, the House
would not take an actual vote on the Senate health care bill, but would instead
utilize a House procedural tactic under which the Senate bill is considered
passed. The House would then pass a second bill (the reconciliation bill)
that would make changes to the underlying Senate bill. On March 12, 2010,
House Democratic leadership released the text of the reconciliation bill, H.R.
4872, The Health Care and Education Affordability Reconciliation Act of
2010. To access a copy of H.R. 4872, please click
here.
H.R.
4872 does not change the ambulance provisions in the underlying Senate health
care bill (H.R. 3590), which includes a one year extension of the 2% urban, 3%
rural and super rural ambulance relief provisions, retroactive to January 1,
2010.
The
Congressional Budget Office has determined that the Democratic health reform
plan (Senate-passed bill as modified by budget reconciliation provisions) will
cost $940 billion over 10 years, but will trim the federal deficit by $130
billion in the first ten years and $1.2 trillion in the second ten years.
To access a copy of the CBO cost estimate, please click
here.
House
Democratic leaders need 216 votes to pass the healthcare and reconciliation
bills in the House. It is currently unclear whether there are sufficient
votes to pass the measure. However, recent statements of support by a
number of House Democrats who previously opposed the Senate healthcare bill
make it likely that Democratic leaders will obtain the necessary votes.
Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and President Obama have made outreach to
previously-opposed or wavering Members to help ensure their support. The
Washington Post has developed a table that lists which Members of the House are
expected to vote in favor of the health care reform bill, which Members will
likely oppose the bill, and which Members remain undecided. To see how
your Member is expected to vote, please click
here.
The House Leadership
has promised to give Members 72 hours to review the legislation before a vote,
which is now expected to occur on Sunday, March 21. Assuming that the
House passes H.R. 4872, the Senate would then use the 51-vote budget
reconciliation process to pass the bill in the Senate. That process would
occur as early as next week.